Bear market data points
Personally I’ve been selling positions to build up some cash (~25-30% port) given the reasonable likelihood of a pullback this year. With sell off beginning(?), I’m starting to look at re-entry points and pulled this data which you may find interesting. We are only ~3.5% off highs right now. This is all looking at S&P 500 and is the max draw down from highs in previous pull backs. Sorry for formatting I’m on my phone.
- 14.6%, 2022 before first rally
- 24.5%, 2022 before second rally
- 27.5%, 2022 max draw down
- 35.5%, 2020
- 20.1%, 2018
- 14.5%, 2015
- 20.8%, 2011
- 22.7%, 08 pre lehman
- 57.1%, 08 post lehman
- 28.1%, dotcom before first rally
- 38.2%, dotcom before second rally
- 49.7%, dotcom max draw down
- 20.1%, 1990
- 19.0%, 1980 before first rally
- 22.7%, 1980 before second rally
- 27.3%, 1980 max draw down
- 18.7%, 1978
- 16.2%, 1973 before first rally
- 24.2%, 1973 before second rally
- 48.0%, 1973 max draw down
- 9.9%, 1969 before first rally
- 17.7%, 1969 before second rally
- 35.4%, 1969 max draw down